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The NFL saw a bunch of high-scoring matchups last week and it looks like we might be in for more of the same in Week 4. Through three weeks of play over bettors are riding a 29-19 winning clip (60 percent) and it looks like oddsmakers have made an adjustment posting eight games with totals of at least 50 points for Week 4. Favourites are now 25-23 against the spread (ATS) with favourites of more than six points checking in at 14-7 ATS.

It might be best that we get the Thursday Night Football game out of the way as quickly as possible as the 0-3 Denver Broncos visit the 0-3 New York Jets at Metlife Stadium. The Broncos opened as 2.5-point favourites but have dipped to -1 while the 39.5-point total is the lowest on the bard this week. That’s what happens when you have two teams that average just over 27 points per game combined.

The Baltimore Ravens are the biggest favourite this week at -14 at Washington and more than 85 percent of early bettors like the Ravens to cover the big number after they were embarrassed by the Chiefs last week.

There have been some early line moves that you’ll want to keep an eye on too. The Los Angeles Rams have moved from 9.5-point favourites against the Giants all the way up to -12.5, the 49ers have moved from -3.5 to -7 at home to the Eagles on Sunday Night Football, and the Packers opened at -5.5 before being bet up to -7.5 at home to Atlanta on Monday Night Football. The MNF total is the week’s largest at 58 with more than 80 percent of bets backing the over.

NBA

With Game 1 of the NBA Finals set to tip off Wednesday, LeBron James and the Los Angeles Lakers are set as big favourites to win the title against the upstart Miami Heat. Oddsmakers have the Lakers at -370 to win the series with Miami pegged as a big +280 underdog. Los Angeles is set as a 4.5-point favourite in Game 1 after opening at -5.5 and about 65 percent of the handle is on the Lakers to cover, but it’s worth noting that both teams have been very good against the spread. L.A. checks in at 6-3-1 ATS in its last 10 while Miami is 7-3 ATS. Meanwhile, James is set as a -160 favourite to win his fourth NBA Finals MVP award with Anthony Davis at +220 and Miami’s Jimmy Butler at +800.


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